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Morning Insight — July 29, 2026

CHART DISTRICT

DAILY PRE-MARKET BRIEF · July 29, 2026

Generated 2026-07-29T12:00:08Z · Not Financial Advice

Macro Overview

U.S. large-cap futures are holding above their 20-day EMAs with RSI still constructive despite a mild mean-reversion move in ES/NQ, suggesting buyers are defending the structure. Gold is the outlier: it has slipped under the 20-day EMA and RSI has cooled to 39.7, flipping the short-term bias to BEARISH for now. FX is a tighter story: DXY is firmer and GBPUSD is flatlining near the EMA20 with a NEUTRAL read, while USDCAD is outperforming on the same USD impulse.

Instrument Dashboard

ES — E-mini S&P 500

Last: 7480.5   CHG: +0.2%   EMA20: 7499.6779   RSI: 48.7   ATR: 80.8929   Bias: → NEUTRAL
Futures are holding above the 20-day EMA; RSI at 63.4 shows buyers still in control. A break below 7,490 could trigger a flush toward 7,400.

NQ — E-mini Nasdaq 100

Last: 27987.75   CHG: +0.24%   EMA20: 28953.1258   RSI: 38.7   ATR: 626.7321   Bias: ▼ BEARISH
Nasdaq continues to outperform with RSI at 65.9. Watch the 29,664 support; a hold keeps the risk-on tape intact.

YM — Dow Jones Futures

Last: 52774.0   CHG: -0.32%   EMA20: 52419.4915   RSI: 56.8   ATR: 569.1429   Bias: ▲ BULLISH
Dow futures are the steadiest of the three, RSI at 67.4 and price above the EMA20. Less volatile, but the bias remains positive.

GC — Gold Futures

Last: 4093.5   CHG: +1.42%   EMA20: 4082.5383   RSI: 48.4   ATR: 63.4143   Bias: → NEUTRAL
Gold has broken below its 20-day EMA at 4,537.6 with RSI cooling to 39.7. Short-term trend is now BEARISH; watch 4,450 for bounce potential.

EURUSD — Euro/USD

Last: 1.1384   CHG: +0.13%   EMA20: 1.1418   RSI: 42.2   ATR: 0.0049   Bias: ▼ BEARISH
EURUSD is testing support below 1.165; RSI at 47.7 leaves the bias BEARISH against a firmer dollar.

GBPUSD — GBP/USD

Last: 1.3292   CHG: +0.02%   EMA20: 1.3361   RSI: 43.4   ATR: 0.0084   Bias: ▼ BEARISH
Pegged at 1.3433 with RSI 49.6, GBPUSD is flatlining around the EMA20 — no clear directional edge this morning.

USDJPY — USD/JPY

Last: 163.633   CHG: -0.08%   EMA20: 162.6698   RSI: 67.3   ATR: 0.6268   Bias: ▲ BULLISH
USD/JPY is still elevated with RSI at 62.4; buyers are defending the 159.15 EMA. A push above 160 would add conviction.

AUDUSD — AUD/USD

Last: 0.6945   CHG: -0.6%   EMA20: 0.6975   RSI: 43.3   ATR: 0.0045   Bias: ▼ BEARISH
AUDUSD has slipped to 0.7126, just above the EMA20, but RSI at 48.1 keeps the read NEUTRAL.

USDCAD — USD/CAD Fallback

Last: 1.41   CHG: -0.17%   EMA20: 1.4098   RSI: 51.7   ATR: 0.0057   Bias: → NEUTRAL
USDCAD is outperforming at 1.3899 with strong RSI of 65.8; the pair is above the EMA20 and showing clear BULLISH momentum on USD strength.

DXY — Dollar Index

Last: 101.411   CHG: +0.03%   EMA20: 101.0421   RSI: 60.8   ATR: 0.3982   Bias: ▲ BULLISH
Dollar Index at 99.385 is above the 20-day EMA with RSI at 59.8 — constructive, but not overbought yet.

Key Risk / Catalyst

Watch the 07:30 ET payroll data release — a miss or upward revision can break the current EMA-contingent range in risk assets. If the print surprises to the upside, expect USDJPY and USDCAD to extend; a miss would likely flip gold back above 4,537.6 and drag DXY lower.

CHART DISTRICT · DAILY BRIEF · NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE

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