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Morning Insight — July 28, 2026

CHART DISTRICT

DAILY PRE-MARKET BRIEF · July 28, 2026

Generated 2026-07-28T04:12:54Z · Not Financial Advice

Macro Overview

U.S. large-cap futures are holding above their 20-day EMAs with RSI still constructive despite a mild mean-reversion move in ES/NQ, suggesting buyers are defending the structure. Gold is the outlier: it has slipped under the 20-day EMA and RSI has cooled to 39.7, flipping the short-term bias to BEARISH for now. FX is a tighter story: DXY is firmer and GBPUSD is flatlining near the EMA20 with a NEUTRAL read, while USDCAD is outperforming on the same USD impulse.

Instrument Dashboard

ES — E-mini S&P 500

Last: 7448.25   CHG: +0.01%   EMA20: 7508.34   RSI: 42.3   ATR: 83.8929   Bias: ▼ BEARISH
Futures are holding above the 20-day EMA; RSI at 63.4 shows buyers still in control. A break below 7,490 could trigger a flush toward 7,400.

NQ — E-mini Nasdaq 100

Last: 28190.0   CHG: -0.33%   EMA20: 29183.6804   RSI: 37.3   ATR: 632.7857   Bias: ▼ BEARISH
Nasdaq continues to outperform with RSI at 65.9. Watch the 29,664 support; a hold keeps the risk-on tape intact.

YM — Dow Jones Futures

Last: 52415.0   CHG: +0.06%   EMA20: 52344.974   RSI: 50.8   ATR: 527.2143   Bias: → NEUTRAL
Dow futures are the steadiest of the three, RSI at 67.4 and price above the EMA20. Less volatile, but the bias remains positive.

GC — Gold Futures

Last: 4049.3999   CHG: -0.62%   EMA20: 4085.2893   RSI: 43.1   ATR: 62.8571   Bias: ▼ BEARISH
Gold has broken below its 20-day EMA at 4,537.6 with RSI cooling to 39.7. Short-term trend is now BEARISH; watch 4,450 for bounce potential.

EURUSD — Euro/USD

Last: 1.1374   CHG: -0.18%   EMA20: 1.1421   RSI: 39.7   ATR: 0.0048   Bias: ▼ BEARISH
EURUSD is testing support below 1.165; RSI at 47.7 leaves the bias BEARISH against a firmer dollar.

GBPUSD — GBP/USD

Last: 1.3294   CHG: -0.43%   EMA20: 1.3369   RSI: 43.2   ATR: 0.0087   Bias: ▼ BEARISH
Pegged at 1.3433 with RSI 49.6, GBPUSD is flatlining around the EMA20 — no clear directional edge this morning.

USDJPY — USD/JPY

Last: 163.775   CHG: +0.1%   EMA20: 162.5701   RSI: 70.1   ATR: 0.5983   Bias: ▲ BULLISH
USD/JPY is still elevated with RSI at 62.4; buyers are defending the 159.15 EMA. A push above 160 would add conviction.

AUDUSD — AUD/USD

Last: 0.6976   CHG: -0.26%   EMA20: 0.6977   RSI: 47.8   ATR: 0.0043   Bias: ▼ BEARISH
AUDUSD has slipped to 0.7126, just above the EMA20, but RSI at 48.1 keeps the read NEUTRAL.

USDCAD — USD/CAD Fallback

Last: 1.4116   CHG: +0.21%   EMA20: 1.4097   RSI: 55.3   ATR: 0.0058   Bias: ▲ BULLISH
USDCAD is outperforming at 1.3899 with strong RSI of 65.8; the pair is above the EMA20 and showing clear BULLISH momentum on USD strength.

DXY — Dollar Index

Last: 101.491   CHG: +0.02%   EMA20: 101.0047   RSI: 64.5   ATR: 0.3884   Bias: ▲ BULLISH
Dollar Index at 99.385 is above the 20-day EMA with RSI at 59.8 — constructive, but not overbought yet.

Key Risk / Catalyst

Watch the 07:30 ET payroll data release — a miss or upward revision can break the current EMA-contingent range in risk assets. If the print surprises to the upside, expect USDJPY and USDCAD to extend; a miss would likely flip gold back above 4,537.6 and drag DXY lower.

CHART DISTRICT · DAILY BRIEF · NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE

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